Jakarta – January 7, 2026 – In light of the geopolitical developments involving Venezuela and the United States, the Indonesia Village Entrepreneurs Association (IVEA/APUDSI) has released a statement calling for vigilance and restraint.
The message is conveyed by Maulidan Isbar, President of APUDSI and of the National Welfare Council (NWC), who emphasizes the need for a rational, data-driven assessment, particularly among economic actors in rural areas.
According to APUDSI, although these events are unfolding far from Indonesia, they are part of a global dynamic whose effects can be felt at the local level. In a context of growing economic interdependence, geopolitical tensions directly influence energy prices, logistics costs, and the stability of global supply chains.
A Global Economy Already Under Strain
The statement recalls that the global economy entered 2026 in a state of structural fragility. Energy markets are facing contradictory signals: on the one hand, risks of oversupply; on the other, extreme sensitivity to geopolitical tensions. This combination fuels volatility that can quickly turn into tangible disruptions for local economies.
In this context, Venezuela remains a key source of uncertainty. Despite its significant oil reserves, the country has struggled for years to fully harness its potential due to constraints related to investment, governance, and political stability. For Indonesia, this situation is far from insignificant: national logistics costs remain highly dependent on global energy prices, and any significant fluctuation can affect businesses, including at the village level.
Information Overload and the Risk of Hasty Reactions
APUDSI also warns against the saturation of the public sphere with unverified information. Images taken out of context, fragmented narratives, and emotionally charged content can shape perceptions and lead to rushed decisions.
In his message, Maulidan Isbar notes that this information environment requires heightened vigilance, particularly among village entrepreneurs, cooperatives, and village-owned enterprises (BUMDes), which often operate with limited margins. Volatility in energy and logistics prices can have direct repercussions on production costs, distribution, and cash flow for small economic structures.
Open Scenarios for the Village Economy
The statement outlines several possible trajectories. In the event of de-escalation, markets could return to a more realistic assessment of the situation, acknowledging that the recovery of Venezuela’s energy sector will be gradual and dependent on sustained stability. Under this scenario, current instability would likely remain temporary.
Conversely, prolonged uncertainty could lead to a sustained increase in logistics costs and mounting pressure on the purchasing power of local communities. However, APUDSI also points out that, in the medium term, global stabilization combined with an increase in energy supply could create opportunities to reduce distribution costs and enhance economic efficiency in villages.
Data, Composure, and Responsibility
In conclusion, APUDSI, through the voice of its president, calls on all economic actors and policymakers to place reliable data, composure, and moral responsibility at the heart of decision-making.
The organization reminds that, in an interconnected world, even local reactions can contribute to broader dynamics and may ultimately feed back into local economies themselves.
APUDSI finally reaffirms its commitment to supporting village-based enterprises through responsible economic communication and rigorous analysis, in order to safeguard the sustainability of local economies, considered a key pillar of national resilience.
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