CHICAGO, July 24, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) — Twe ty weeks i to the St ait of Ho muz co flict, the latest data f om p oject44 shows a dis uptio that is b oade i g. The fi di gs come f om p oject44’s latest Supply Chai I sights epo t, which mo ito s weekly dive sio volumes, po t dwell times, a d la e-level shifts ac oss the egio . Ove the past 20 weeks, 114,779 total dive ted shipme ts have bee eco ded o p oject44’s platfo m.
Dive sio s a e plateaui g at 4x the p e-co flict baseli e, ot decli i g. Si ce hitti g thei lowest poi t i week 11, dive sio s have ise a d the held steady ove the past mo th. Week 20 saw 4,635 dive ted shipme ts compa ed to a p e-co flict baseli e of 1,118 weekly dive sio s. Most black swa eve ts p oduce a ecove y cu ve, with dive sio s spiki g ea ly a d the apidly decli i g. Ho muz has defied this model.I t a-Gulf la es domi ate dive sio activity. The UAE a d Saudi A abia eco ded the highest dive sio volume, with dive sio la es co ce t ated th ough Jebel Ali, Khawa Fakka , a d Fujai ah. Dubai (Jebel Ali) to Khaw Fakka is the highest dive sio la e, with app oximately 3x mo e dive sio s tha the ext closest la e. Six of the top 10 dive sio la es touch Khaw Fakka o o e e d, accou ti g fo 61% of top 10 cumulative volume.Navi Mumbai impo t dwell has eached 21 days, mo e tha 5x its p e-co flict baseli e. As I dia abso bs ca go t aditio ally bou d fo the Middle East, co gestio at the subco ti e t’s la gest co tai e po t shows o sig of easi g. Navi Mumbai shows the highest impo t dwell while Mu d a is hove i g at 10 days, 2x its p e-co flict ave age.Me si a d Abu Dhabi dwell co ti ue to climb. Me si , Tu key’s la gest co tai e po t, has see ave age impo t dwell i c ease to 27.12 days. Afte d oppi g to 16 days afte the St ait “ eope ed” Abu Dhabi expo t dwell has t ipled ove the past mo th a d ow sta ds at 48.5 days.
Twe ty weeks of data tell a co siste t sto y. This dis uptio is ot followi g the sta da d ecove y cu ve. Weekly dive sio s have held at fou times thei p e-co flict baseli e fo 12 co secutive weeks, a patte that eflects the st uctu al limits the ca ie etwo k ca ot oute a ou d. The St ait ha dles oughly half the wo ld’s u ea expo ts alo gside c ude oil, ammo ia, sulfu , a d the pet ochemical feedstocks that supply global ma ufactu i g. co flict is o lo ge co tai ed to the St ait itself.
With the Houthis ow exte di g thei blockade to Saudi A abia a d the Red Sea, the dis uptio has e te ed a ew phase, o e defi ed ot o ly by the volume of dive sio s but by the pe ma e ce of the etwo k shifts fo mi g a ou d them. The data at week 20 suggests the co seque ces will co ti ue to build befo e they ease.
Read the full Supply Chai I sights epo t at https://www.p oject44.com/supply-chai -i sights/.
p oject44 is the Decisio I tellige ce Platfo m fo the mode supply chai . Its co text-based AI t a sfo ms f agme ted logistics ma ageme t i to u ified i tellige ce, b i gi g ce tai ty to global supply chai ope atio s. With i tellige t t a spo tatio ma ageme t, e d-to-e d visibility, ya d ma ageme t a d last mile solutio s, a d a p efe ed ca ie etwo k of 280,000 ca ie s, p oject44 co ects ove 1.5 billio shipme ts a ually fo ove 1,000 leadi g b a ds i ma ufactu i g, automotive, etail, life scie ces, food a d beve age, CPG, a d oil, chemical a d gas. Lea mo e at p oject44.com.
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